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华裔美籍律师章家敦执笔:「中国即将崩溃」 章家敦执笔 |
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华裔美籍律师章家敦执笔:「中国即将崩溃」 章家敦执笔 -- Anonymous - (1620 Byte) 2002-3-13 周三, 上午11:04 (351 reads) |
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作者:Anonymous 在 罕见奇谈 发贴, 来自 http://www.hjclub.org
本人贴于Amazon的书评:
"Everything you hate about China"
I rate this book 2-star, as it presents a representative (contrarian?)
view of China. Gordon Chang spent 20 years in China, as such he
collected enough materials about things which are bad or wrong in
China. This would be sobering for the optimists and satisfactory for
the pessimists.
Be warned though that, even if all the bits and pieces of appalling
facts in Chang's book are true, the evidence does not necessarily
support his central thesis of "the Coming Collapse of China". It would
require a giant leap in logic or a giant leap into religion. Anybody
who spent 20 years in China (or any other country), could compile a
book about the ugly problems and (seemingly) intractable issues in
that country. Yet few meticulous scholars would be willing to speak as
God, as in Gordon Chang's Forward (p.xviii):
"How much time does China have? No one knows for sure, but China
cannot continue to spend at the current pace for much longer. Beijing
has about five years to put things right. No government, not even
China's, can defy the laws of gravity forever."
The author has a tendency to selectively quote things in support of
his arguments, while completely ignore views contrary to his own. He
made two citations of noted Chinese economist Hu Angang, about the
unemployment being the number one issue in China and corruption cost
US$150 billion in past decade. Yet he neglect to mention that Hu
Angang's views on China's WTO accession and long-term prospect are
almost the opposite of his own.
On p.245, Chang states: "And some register dissent in ways not so
subtle by taking matters into their own hands. About 44 percent of the
world's suicides take place in China. That's just a reflection of what
has become known as 'the death of the spirit'." China's suicide rate
(especially rural female's suicide rate) is higher than the world
average. Yet Chang ignores other statistics which contradict the one
he quotes (see International Academy of Suicide Research:
http://www.uni-wuerzburg.de/IASR/ )
In summary, Gordon Chang's book has some value, but it should be more
truthfully titled as "Everything you hate about China". Those looking
for "painstaking research" (advance praise by Willy Wo-Lap Lam on the
book's back cover) would be disappointed.
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/stores/detail/-/books/037550477X/customer-reviews/ >Amazon Book Reviews: The Coming Collapse of China
作者:Anonymous 在 罕见奇谈 发贴, 来自 http://www.hjclub.org |
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